High-volatility focus: The week starts relatively light, but volatility risk should build from midweek onward. Australia’s inflation release is the first major trigger, followed by a dense EUR and USD macro cluster that can reset direction across the main dollar pairs.
Critical for pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF
Mon: Relatively light top-tier backdrop for the tracked currencies. The market may spend the day positioning ahead of the midweek inflation and growth releases.
Tue: Still a lighter calendar for the tracked pairs. Watch for consolidation and pre-positioning ahead of Australia CPI and the euro area / U.S. data block.
Wed: AUD — Consumer Price Index, Australia, March 2026. This is the main scheduled volatility trigger for AUDUSD in the first half of the week.
Thu: EUR — Flash estimate inflation euro area, April 2026; Preliminary flash estimate GDP - EU and euro area, Q1/2026.
USD — GDP (Advance Estimate), 1st Quarter 2026; Employment Cost Index, First Quarter 2026.
This is the key macro day of the week and may drive the widest moves across EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD and USDCHF.
Fri: Scheduled volatility eases compared with Thursday. Markets may spend the session digesting the midweek inflation and growth signals unless an unexpected repricing carries over.
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