High-volatility focus: Wednesday–Friday, with Thursday expected to be the main risk day for FX volatility.
Critical for pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF
Monday, May 18
CNY: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment, Unemployment Rate
JPY: Q1 GDP
Impact: China data can strongly affect AUDUSD and NZDUSD sentiment at the start of the week.
Tuesday, May 19
AUD: RBA Minutes
GBP: UK Labour Market Statistics
EUR: Eurozone Trade Balance
USD: US Pending Home Sales
Impact: Labour and policy signals may set the tone for GBP pairs and commodity currencies.
Wednesday, May 20
GBP: UK CPI and PPI
EUR: Eurozone Final HICP Inflation
USD: FOMC Minutes
Impact: Inflation plus Fed minutes make this a key midweek event cluster for EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCHF.
Thursday, May 21
AUD: Australia Labour Market Data
EUR: Eurozone Flash PMI (including Germany and France)
GBP: UK Flash PMI
USD: US Flash PMI, Housing Starts, Building Permits, Philadelphia Fed Index
NZD: New Zealand Trade Balance
Impact: This is the strongest macro day of the week, especially for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD.
Friday, May 22
GBP: UK Retail Sales
EUR: Germany Ifo Business Climate
NZD: New Zealand Retail Trade Survey
USD: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Impact: End-of-week data may either confirm or reverse the dominant trends built earlier in the week.
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